Philadelphia vs. Houston, 09/13/2012 20:05 EDT, Score: 4 - 6

Total: -110/+8 Under

Sportsbook: 5Dimes

Result: Loss

On Thursday the MLB Totals System Play is on the Under in the Phillies at Astros game. Rotation numbers 951/952 at 8:05 eastern. This game fits a simple totals system that has cashed every time the past 9 seasons. We want to play on road favorites that had 4 or less hits in a home win, vs an opponent that scored 4 or less runs in their last game. In the series 5 of the last 6 here have stayed under and the Astros are scoring just 2.6 runs per game the past week with their minor league lineup they have out there. No surprise their last 5 have gone under. The Phillies have gone under in 4 of their last 5 road games. Cloyd starts for the Phils and he was solid in his only road start going 7 innings allowing 1 run. Harell for the Astros has a solid 2.06 home era this season. Look for a low scoring game here tonight.

On Thursday the college football selection is on South Florida. Game 104 at 7:30 eastern. While I'm aware The trends support Rutgers in this game, we must look at the facts. Rutgers returns just 3 offensive starters from team a that wasn't even that good on offense last season. last week they managed just 26 points at home against a Howard university team that shouldn't even be on their schedule, the prior week they struggled to score against an awful Tulane team and scored because of turnovers. Now they will face a much tougher team in USF. The Rutgers defense is still good but has not been tested like they will be tonight. USF Returns 8 starters to an offense that averaged 432 yards per game last season. They will do far better than the 7 yards on 28 rush attempts they had last season at Rutgers. USF is not much better than last season on defense but they wont have to be against an anemic Rutgers attack that is a far cry from what they faced last week in Nevada. USF held a solid Nevada offense to 32 points on the road which may sound like no big deal, however they came storming back and held Nevada off late. USF has won and covered 5 of the last 7 as a home favorite from -7.5 to -10 and should be able to score enough here to win and cover against a Rutgers team that will get exposed this season. Take USF

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