Buffalo vs. NY Jets,
09/09/2012 13:00 EDT,
Score: 28 - 48
Point Spread: -3/-102 NY Jets
New York Jets -3
The Jets have had Buffalo's number. They have won 5 in a row and 7 of the last 8 meetings and each of those 7 wins came by at least 4 points.
The Bills only went 2-7 on the road last season and are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 road games. I expect their road struggles to continue against a team that has been among the best in the NFL defensive over the past three seasons.
Buffalo's run defense was atrocious last year, ranking 28th in the NFL with 139.0 yards allowed per game. It was gashed by New York's run game in both of last season's losses. I like the Jets to be able to run the football effectively again here behind Shonn Greene, who I believe is poised for a monster year.
I'm also not sold on Buffalo QB Ryan Fitzpatrick, who threw 23 interceptions last season and really struggled over his final 9 contests last year.
The media is down on the Jets because of their lackluster preseason, but the regular season is an entirely different animal. The Jets went 6-2 at home last year, and I'll lay the points with them on their home field this afternoon.