5* NCAAF Non-Conference Game of the Year on Oklahoma State -10.5 analysis still to come
Oklahoma State vs. Arizona,
09/08/2012 22:30 EDT,
Score: 38 - 59
Point Spread: -10½/-110 Oklahoma State
5* NCAAF Non-Conference Game of the Year on Oklahoma State -10.5
I don't see an Arizona team that struggled to put points on the board against Toledo being able to hang with the explosive Oklahoma State Cowboys.
The Cowboys buried the Wildcats by 26 and 23 points, respectively, the past two seasons and this one has the making of a rout as well.
The fact OK State went for 84 last week is significant because it is 7-0 ATS since the beginning of the 2010 season following a game in which it and its opponent combined for 80 points or more.
It is also important to note that teams under the direction of Arizona head coach Rich Rodriguez are 0-7 ATS all-time in games when the total is 63.0 or higher. In other words, when odds makers are expecting a shootout, his teams have come up short.
Additionally, the Wildcats are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU win and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games.
Oklahoma State is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 road games and 8-1 ATS in its last 9 as a road favorite.
Lastly, plays on favorites of 10.5 to 21 points on a good team from last season that outscored its opponents by 7.0 or more points/game, provided it returns 8 defensive starters and it's the first month of the season, are 23-3 ATS the last 10 seasons. Teams fitting into this situation have won by an average of 27.7 points. Lay the points.