5* Blockbuster Top Play

5* Blockbuster Top Play

Ohio vs. Penn State, 09/01/2012 12:00 EDT, Score: 24 - 14

Point Spread: -6½/-105 Penn State

Sportsbook: 5Dimes

Result: Loss

5* Blockbuster Top Play: Penn State -6.5

A lot of people are down on Penn State coming into the 2012 season, but I think they are going to surprise people with how well they play this year. The loss of Joe Paterno is big, but not as big as some would think. I am extremely high on new head coach Bill O'Brien.

I look for O'Brien to turn around an offense that averaged just 19.3 ppg in 2011, even with the loss of top running back Silas Redd. A lot of people seem to forget that Penn State never had to rebuild, they just simply reloaded. They lost some recruits, but there is still a ton of talent on this roster. The scholarship sanctions received aren't going to have a big impact on this year's team.

Ohio is getting a lot of respect after finishing 10-4 last year, but you have to remember that they only played one game against a team from the BCS. In that matchup they were beat by Rutgers 38-26.

The Bobcats do bring back a talented quarterback in Tyler Tettleton, but he loses all of his top weapons from last year. Ohio has to replace leading rusher Donte Harden (986 yards) and their top two receivers in LaVon Brazil (74 catches, 1146 yards, 11 TDs) and Riley Dunlop (43 catches, 586 yards, 6 TDs).

Another big key to this matchup is I believe the Penn State defense will keep Tettleton from moving the chains with his legs. In turn, it should make the Bobcats offense one-dimensional.

The fact that Penn State is getting so much hate from everyone around the country, I believe it has allowed the oddsmakers to set this line much lower than it should be. BET THE NITTANY LIONS!

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