15* AL Friday Undervalued Underdog on Kansas City Royals +166
Kansas City vs. Boston,
08/24/2012 19:10 EDT,
Score: 3 - 4
Money Line: +166 Kansas City
The Kansas City Royals are showing great value tonight as a big road underdog to the Boston Red Sox. Boston (59-66) appears to have packed it in already, losing four straight games coming in.
Kansas City (55-68) continues to fight while making backers a ton of money over the last few weeks. The Royals have won six of their last nine games overall, and they were an underdog in all but three of those contests.
Bruce Chen has pitched well of late, going 2-1 with a 4.00 ERA and 1.167 WHIP in his last three starts. Jon Lester has struggled all season, going 7-10 with a 5.03 ERA and 1.357 WHIP in 25 starts, including 2-8 with a 6.83 ERA and 1.616 WHIP in 14 home outings. He has no business being this heavily favored tonight.
Lester is 0-7 (-11.3 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss this season. Lester is 0-7 (-13.0 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -175 to -200 over the last 2 seasons. Boston is 0-6 as a home favorite of -175 to -200 this season. These three trends make for a perfect 20-0 system that has not lost in 2012. Plus, Kansas City is a very profitable 12-5 (+14.2 Units) as a road underdog of +150 to +175 this season. Roll with the Royals Friday.