5* MLB *BEST BET* Blowout
Houston vs. Atlanta,
08/05/2012 13:35 EDT,
Score: 1 - 6
Point Spread: -1½/-105 Atlanta
5* MLB *BEST BET* Blowout on Braves -1.5 -104
Houston picked up a rare win yesterday, but I don't expect it to build on it. In fact, it is 0-4 in its last 4 games following victory, losing them by an average of 3.25 runs.
The Braves are in good hands with Kris Medlen on the mound. That's because they are 12-0 in his last 12 starts and have won those by an average of 3.08 runs per game.
In addition, fading Houston with Bud Norris on the mound has been a very profitable play. The Astros are 0-10 in his last 10 starts, dropping those by 2.8 runs per game.
In further support of this play, we find that Houston is just 4-14 in its last 18 versus the Braves, including 1-6 in its last 7 in Atlanta. Bet the Braves on the run line.