15* NL Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Washington Nationals +100

15* NL Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Washington Nationals +100

Washington vs. NY Mets, 07/24/2012 19:10 EDT, Score: 5 - 2

Money Line: +100 Washington

Sportsbook: BETONLINE

Result: Win

The Washington Nationals are showing solid value as a small underdog to the New York Mets tonight. At 56-39 on the season and with three straight wins, the Nationals have showed no signs of slowing down. The Mets, meanwhile, have lost four straight and 10 of 11 overall.

Gio Gonzalez is having a tremendous season, going 12-5 with a 3.32 ERA and 1.144 WHIP in 19 starts this season. After giving up six earned runs over 3 1/3 innings against the Mets in his last start against them on July 19th, he'll be very motivated to get revenge tonight.

R.A. Dickey is having a solid year as well, but he's finally starting to come back down to reality. Dickey has posted a 6.05 ERA and 1.707 WHIP over his last three starts. He beat Gonzalez in that July 19th game, but gave up four runs and 11 base runners in the process.

The Nationals are 5-0 in their last 5 games as an underdog. Washington is 7-1 in Gonzalez's last 8 starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Mets are 1-10 in their last 11 vs. a team with a winning record. New York is 0-6 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record. The 0-7 in their last 7 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. The Nationals are 7-1 in their last 8 meetings in New York. These six trends make for a 44-4 system backing Washington. Roll with the Nationals Tuesday.


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