4* MLB *BEST BET* Blowout on Blue Jays -123
Cleveland vs. Toronto,
07/13/2012 19:07 EDT,
Score: 1 - 0
Money Line: -125 Toronto
The Toronto Blue Jays get the call Friday as a small home favorite over the Cleveland Indians. This is a very generous price to back Toronto ace Ricky Romero. The left-hander has been on top of his game at home, going 5-1 with a 4.75 ERA and 1.283 WHIP in eight starts.
I'll gladly fade Justin Masterson of the Indians, who is 2-4 with a 5.93 ERA and 1.512 WHIP in seven road starts this season. In his last start at Toronto, the right-hander gave up eight earned runs and 15 base runners over 5 1/3 innings of a 1-8 loss.
Romero is 13-2 against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. The Indians are 1-7 in their last 8 games as an underdog of +110 to +150. Cleveland is 1-6 in Masterson's last 7 starts as a road underdog of +110 to +150. The Blue Jays are 7-1 in their last 8 games as a favorite of -110 to -150. Toronto is 7-0 in Romero's last 7 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150. Take the Blue Jays.