5* MLB *BEST BET*
Miami vs. Milwaukee,
07/02/2012 20:10 EDT,
Score: 5 - 6
Money Line: -155 Milwaukee
5* MLB *BEST BET* on Brewers -155
The Brewers get the call with former AL Cy Young winner Zack Greinke on the hill. He is 9-2 with an ERA of 2.82 on the season and has been nearly unhittable at home where he is 4-0 with a 1.08 ERA.
It hasn't been wise to go against Greinke at home. In fact, the Brewers are 22-0 lifetime in Greinke's home starts as a favorite of -110 or higher. They have won those starts by an average of 3.2 runs.
In addition, Greinke is 3-0 on the money line in 3 career starts versus the Marlins with his teams winning those by an average of 4.3 runs.
These two never lost trends form a perfect 25-0 angle that carries an average winning margin of 3.8 runs.
It's also worth noting that Miami is 0-4 in Zambrano's last 4 starts, during which he has given up 19 runs in 16 innings. Bet the Brewers.