20* MLB Monday No-Doubt Rout on Texas Rangers -140
Detroit vs. Texas,
06/25/2012 20:05 EDT,
Score: 8 - 2
Money Line: -140 Texas
The Texas Rangers have been red hot of late, and I'll side with them to take Game 1 of this series against the Detroit Tigers tonight. The Rangers have won 11 of 13, and they lead the majors with 386 runs scored.
Rick Porcello's worst career regular-season ERA against an AL opponent is the work of the high-scoring Rangers. The right-hander is 1-2 with a 12.27 ERA in three outings against Texas (45-28), including his shortest effort over his last three seasons April 21. Porcello (4-5, 4.95 ERA) was tagged for nine runs over one-plus inning in a 10-4 defeat in the opener of a doubleheader.
Porcello is 0-3 with a 12.08 ERA in three starts against the AL West this year. Opponents are hitting .319 overall against him - the worst mark in baseball among starters that have gone at least 70 innings.
Texas rookie Justin Grimm (1-0, 4.50) gets the ball again after yielding three runs over six innings June 16 in his major league debut, an 8-3 victory over Houston. Grimm is a diamond in the rough, going 15-6 with a 2.85 ERA and 1.176 WHIP in 38 starts in the minors over the last two years. He is 8-3 with a 1.87 ERA and 1.026 WHIP in 13 minor league starts in 2012.
Detroit scored a combined 5 runs while losing two out of three to the Pittsburgh Pirates over the weekend. The Tigers are 5-14 against the money line after scoring 4 runs or less 3 straight games this season. Detroit is 0-5 in Porcello's last 5 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150. The Rangers are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter. Texas is 9-1 in their last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Bet the Ranges Monday.