15* Yankees/Mets Subway Series No-Brainer on New York Mets +130

15* Yankees/Mets Subway Series No-Brainer on New York Mets +130

NY Yankees vs. NY Mets, 06/22/2012 19:10 EDT, Score: 4 - 6

Money Line: +130 NY Mets

Sportsbook: DSI

Result: Win

The New York Mets have made backers a lot of money this season with their 38-32 start. They are going to be very hungry for a victory tonight after getting swept at Yankee Stadium in three games from June 8-10. I believe they get their revenge with a Game 1 victory at home this time around.

The Mets have won three straight coming in due to dominant pitching. Jon Niese gets the ball looking to improve on his already impressive season thus far. The left-hander is 4-3 with a 3.82 ERA and 1.261 WHIP in 13 starts, including 1-1 with a 1.80 ERA and 1.100 WHIP in his last three.

Niese faced the Yankees on June 10th, not allowing a single earned runs in 7 innings of work. Andy Pettite gave up 2 earned runs over 6 innings in that same game, but the Yankees came back to win 5-4. I expect Niese, who has a 2.08 ERA in his career against the Yankees, to pitch well again and get the win this time around.

The Mets are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. American League East. New York is 6-0 in their last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. The Mets are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. These three trends make for a perfect 17-0 system backing the home team. Take the Mets Friday.


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