15* MLB Friday Undervalued Underdog on Chicago Cubs +149

15* MLB Friday Undervalued Underdog on Chicago Cubs +149

Chi Cubs vs. Arizona, 06/22/2012 21:40 EDT, Score: 1 - 6

Money Line: +149 Chi Cubs

Sportsbook: BETONLINE

Result: Loss

The Chicago Cubs should not be this big of an underdog against the Arizona Diamondbacks, let alone an underdog at all. This team has reason to be confident after taking two out of three from the Chicago White Sox last series, and I believe they take Game 1 over Arizona tonight.

Jeff Samardzija has pitched pretty well for the Cubs this season, sporting a 4.04 ERA with 78 strikeouts in 78 innings. Joe Saunders has been good on the road for the Diamondbacks, but atrocious at home. Saunders is 3-4 with a 5.01 ERA and 1.573 WHIP in seven home starts in 2012.

Saunders has never beaten Chicago, going 0-2 with a 7.27 ERA and 2.191 WHIP in two career starts against the Cubs. He has allowed 10 runs (7 earned) and 19 base runners over 8 2/3 innings in those two starts.

Arizona is 1-9 against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher who strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season. The Diamondbacks are losing 3.4 to 6.2 on average in this spot. Roll with the Cubs Friday.

« Back