15* Giants/Padres NL Late-Night BAILOUT on San Francisco -105
San Francisco vs. San Diego,
06/05/2012 22:05 EDT,
Score: 5 - 6
Money Line: -105 San Francisco
The San Francisco Giants are rolling right now. They have won seven of their last eight to move into second place in the NL West division, just three games behind Los Angeles. They now face the last-place San Diego Padres (18-37) in Game 1 of a new series tonight.
I really like this price we're getting with the Giants. I know Tim Lincecum has struggled in the early going, but there's no question he'll turn it around. He showed signs of that in his last start by allowing just 1 earned run over 7 innings in a 1-4 loss to Arizona.
Lincecum has owned San Diego, going 10-4 with a 1.84 ERA and 1.154 WHIP in 19 career starts against the Padres. He has given up just 2 earned runs over 29 innings in winning each of his last four starts against them. Anthony Bass has struggled of late for San Diego, giving up 11 earned runs and 21 base runners over 10 innings in his last two outings.
The Padres are 1-13 after scoring 1 run or less this season. They are losing in this spot 3.1 to 6.1 on average. The Giants are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series. San Francisco is 5-0 in their last 5 games with the total set at 6.5 or lower. The Padres are 0-6 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter, and 0-4 in Bass' last 4 starts vs. NL West opponents. These five trends make for a 33-1 (97%) system backing San Francisco. Roll with the Giants Tuesday.