5* NBA Eastern Conference Finals Game of the Year
Miami vs. Boston,
06/03/2012 20:30 EDT,
Score: 91 - 93
Money Line: -115 Miami
5* NBA Eastern Conference Finals Game of the Year on Heat -115
Motivated by an embarrassing double-digit defeat in Game 3, expect the Heat to come storming back tonight.
The Celtics are a poor 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a win. In addition, they are just 6-18 ATS in home games off a home win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
The fact Miami is favored is significant because the favorite is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings. Also, the Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 4.5 points or less and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 playoff games as a favorite of 4.5 points or less.
Miami shot just 10 of 20 from the foul line in Game 3. We're talking about a team that was among the best during the regular season at 77.5%. I expect the Heat to shoot much better from the charity stripe and for Dwayne Wade to be much more efficient offensively in this one. The result should be a Miami win.
I really like the Heat laying points, and expect them to win this one going away, but am taking them on the money line for insurance. Best of luck!