3* MLB SMASH
Milwaukee vs. LA Dodgers,
05/31/2012 22:10 EDT,
Score: 6 - 2
Money Line: +108 LA Dodgers
3* MLB SMASH on Dodgers +108
The Brewers have won the first 3 games of this series, but that won't keep me off the Dodgers tonight. The Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 games after losing the first 3 games of a series and 7-1 in their last 8 game 4's of a series.
The Dodgers are still 21-8 at home this season and 44-20 in their last 64 home games. They are even 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home underdog and 6-1 in Billingsley's last 7 home starts.
The Brewers haven't shown they can be trusted as road chalk. They are 1-6 in their last 7 games as a road favorite and 1-4 in Greinke's last 5 starts as a road favorite of -110 to -150. The Brewers are just 12-23 in Greinke's road starts and Greinke is 4-26 on the money line lifetime in road starts vs. teams outscoring their opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season. He has an ERA of 7.03 in 5 road starts this season.
Take the Dodgers showing value in the home underdog role.