15* AL Monday Early ANNIHILATOR on Detroit Tigers +120

15* AL Monday Early ANNIHILATOR on Detroit Tigers +120

Detroit vs. Boston, 05/28/2012 13:35 EDT, Score: 4 - 7

Money Line: +120 Detroit

Sportsbook: DSI

Result: Loss

The Detroit Tigers are starting to play up to their potential. They just swept the Minnesota Twins in three games over the weekend, outscoring them 20-12 in the process. I look for their bats to stay red hot tonight in Game 1 of this series against the Boston Red Sox.

Detroit (23-24) will be motivated to get to the .500 mark on the season with a win tonight. I like their chances with hard-luck starter Doug Fister on the mound. Fister is 0-2 despite posting a 1.84 ERA and 1.125 WHIP through five starts this season. The Tigers certainly want to reward him with his first win after the way he's pitched thus far.

Felix Doubront is 4-2 with a 3.96 ERA and 1.420 WHIP in nine starts this season for Boston. Doubront is 1-1 with a 4.71 ERA and 1.429 WHIP in four home starts as well. Fister has posted a 2.89 ERA and 1.286 WHIP in five career starts against Boston. He hasn't allowed a single earned run over 9 2/3 innings in his last two starts against the Red Sox.

This play falls into a system that is 46-14 (76.7%) since 1997. It tells us to bet on any team (DETROIT) - off 3 straight wins vs. division rivals, in a game involving two marginal losing teams (46 to 49%). The Tigers are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record. Detroit is 4-0 in Fister's last 4 starts as an underdog. Take the Tigers Monday.


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