15* NL Sunday Undervalued Underdog on Philadelphia Phillies +100

15* NL Sunday Undervalued Underdog on Philadelphia Phillies +100

Philadelphia vs. St. Louis, 05/27/2012 14:15 EDT, Score: 3 - 8

Money Line: +100 Philadelphia

Sportsbook: Intertops

Result: Loss

The Philadelphia Phillies are showing excellent value as an underdog to the St. Louis Cardinals Sunday. Philly wants revenge from getting eliminated in the postseason by the Cardinals last year. They have done their part in winning the first three games of this series, but sweet-sweet revenge would come in the form of a 4-0 sweep.

I expect Roy Halladay to take this one personal, and as a result this will be one of his best starts of the season. Halladay is off to a "slow" start this season by going 4-4 with a 3.58 ERA and 1.109 WHIP in 10 starts. His numbers will be much better as the season goes along.

Adam Wainwright is just 3-5 with a 4.78 ERA and 1.367 WHIP in nine starts this season, including 2-3 with a 6.67 ERA and 1.483 WHIP in five home starts. Halladay is 3-2 with a 2.15 ERA and 0.913 WHIP in six career starts against St. Louis.

Philly is a perfect 10-0 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.70 to 5.20 over the last 2 seasons. The Phillies are winning in this spot by a whopping 4.0 runs/game. Roll with the Phillies Sunday to cap off the 4-0 sweep.


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