4* MLB SMASH
Boston vs. Baltimore,
05/22/2012 19:05 EDT,
Score: 1 - 4
Money Line: -118 Boston
4* MLB SMASH on Red Sox -118
Here comes the Red Sox. They have won 9 of their last 11 and are in great position to continue their winning ways tonight.
The Red Sox are 7-0 in their last 7 games as a favorite, 4-0 in their last 4 in the 2nd game of a series and 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. They are also 4-0 in Doubront's 4 road starts this season. He has an ERA of just 3.52 in those games.
The O's have put up some nice power numbers in the early going, but recent history tells us to ignore those numbers against Boston. After all, Bean Town is a perfect 7-0 since the beginning of last season in road games vs. excellent power teams averaging 1.5 or more HR's/game. The Sox have defeated these foes by an average score of 7.3 to 4.0.
Matusz is carrying a 5.66 ERA at home, which is reason enough for me to look the other way. However, I'll also note that the O's are 0-9 in his last 9 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game and 0-8 in his last 8 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Boston is 80-37 in its last 117 meetings with the Orioles and 76-37 in its last 113 meetings in Baltimore. Bet Boston.