NY Mets vs. Pittsburgh, 05/21/2012 19:05 EDT, Score: 4 - 5

Money Line: -104 NY Mets

Sportsbook: 5Dimes

Result: Loss

On Monday the road warrior play is on the NY. Mets. Game 903 at 7:05 eastern. The Mets fit a perfect system here that plays on road favorites off a 1 run road dog win at +140 or higher, vs an opponent off a road loss. The Pirates fit a play against system that goes against home teams off a 1 run road dog loss at +140 or higher, vs an opponent off a 1 run road dog win. These dismal home teams lose by an average 8-3 score. The Mets have a pitching advantage with Santana over Bedard. In fact in his career in starts in Pittsburgh Santana has allowed just 6 runs in 30 innings of work. The Mets are averaging 5 runs over game on the road while the Pirates are hitting .210 while scoring 2.5 runs here at home. Look for the Mets to take the opener

On Monday the MLB Totals system is on the Under in the KC Royals at New York Yankees game. Rotation numbers 917/918 at 7:05 eastern. This game fits a 90% totals system that plays to the under for road dogs that are +140 or higher that scored 2 or less runs as a home dog, vs an opponent off a home loss by 2 or more runs if they scored 2 or less runs. KC has played under in 13 of 17 vs winning teams, 4 of 5 on Monday and has a solid 2.09 road bullpen era. The Yankees are hitting just .223 and averaging 3.3 runs the past week. They have flown over in 14 of 19 May games and 5 of 6 as a home favorite from -150 to -175. They have a solid 2.39 home bullpen era and have Kuroda on the mound and he has a solid 3 era at home. Tonight he opposes Paulino who has stayed under in all 3 starts and has a superb 1.93 era. Look for this one to go under the total.

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