3* MLB *Mound Mismatch*
Cincinnati vs. NY Mets,
05/16/2012 19:10 EDT,
Score: 6 - 3
Money Line: -131 NY Mets
3* MLB *Mound Mismatch* on Mets -131
The Mets are showing value at this price given the advantage they have on the mound with Santana. The Mets have won 4 of his 7 starts this season, during which he has posted an ERA of 2.92. They have won 3 of his 4 home starts where he has an ERA of just 1.90. Plus, Santana is 4-0 (6-0 on the ML) with an ERA of 3.16 in 6 career starts versus the Reds.
Cincy's Leake is struggling. The Reds are 0-4 in his last 4 starts. He's 0-5 (1-5 on the ML) this season with an ERA of 7.10. The Reds are also 0-5 in his last 5 series-opening starts.
It is also worth noting that the Mets are 18-5 since the start of the 2012 season when matched up against an NL starting pitcher with an ERA of 5.70 or worse. Bet the Mets.