3* MLB SMASH
Cincinnati vs. Atlanta,
05/15/2012 19:10 EDT,
Score: 2 - 6
Money Line: -111 Atlanta
3* MLB SMASH on Braves -111
The Braves are showing some nice value at home this price. Cincy's Cueto is out of the gate strong, but I expect him to get popped tonight. The Reds have lost his last 2 starts against the Braves, during which he has given up 6 runs on 15 hits in 13 1-3 innings. Plus, the Braves have been crushing right-handed starters this season, hitting .283 against them and averaging 5.5 runs. The Reds are only batting .226 and scoring 4.0 runs off righty starters.
The Reds took the first game of the series but are just 3-8 in their last 11 Game 2's. The Braves, meanwhile, are 4-0 in their last 4 in the 2nd game of a series. They are also 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss and 8-0 in their last 8 after being held to 2 runs or less in their previous game. It is also worth noting that the Braves are 45-18 in their last 63 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150.
The Braves are also 6-0 in Hudson's last 6 starts on 5 days' rest and 6-1 in his last 7 home starts. Bet the Braves.