4* MLB SMASH
Cincinnati vs. St. Louis,
04/18/2012 20:15 EDT,
Score: 1 - 11
Money Line: -124 St. Louis
4* MLB SMASH on Cardinals -124
Garcia was lit up at Cincy in his last start but is still 6-1 (6-2 on the ML) with an ERA of 3.00 in 8 career starts versus the Reds, including 4-0 at home. He hasn't allowed more than 2 earned runs in any of those 4 home wins and should be very focused and determined here after what the Reds did to him last Wednesday.
He'll be opposed by Latos, who us 1-2 with an ERA of 10.80 in 3 career starts versus St. Louis. Latos is carrying a 1.758 WHIP on the season and that's significant because the Cardinals are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
It is also worth noting that the Cardinals are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite of -110 to -150 and 5-0 in Garcia's last 5 starts as a home favorite.
The Reds are 0-4 in their last 4 games as a road underdog. We'll take the Cards.