3* Las Vegas Bowl SMASH
Arizona State vs. Boise State,
12/22/2011 20:00 EDT,
Score: 24 - 56
Point Spread: +14½/-110 Arizona State
3* Las Vegas Bowl SMASH on Arizona State +14.5
We played against an overvalued TCU team last night for a nice winner, and now we'll play against an overvalued Boise State team tonight.
The Sun Devils haven't lost by more than 14 points all season, and their 14-point defeat came on the road against Oregon. With this one being played on a neutral field against a Boise State team that isn't as talented as Oregon top to bottom, I believe we are getting some decent line value with the Sun Devils.
The Sun Devils are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog of 10.5 points or more while the Broncos are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 10.5 points or more.
In addition, the Broncos are 0-8 ATS when checking into a game following back-to-back games in which they scored 31 points or more.
The Broncos are also 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win.
ASU had a bad collapse in the second half of the season, but this is a talented team and it's not about to roll over for Boise State. Take the points.