5* NBA *BEST BET*
Atlanta vs. Boston,
04/11/2012 20:00 EDT,
Score: 86 - 88
Point Spread: +3/-110 Atlanta
5* NBA *BEST BET* on Hawks +3
This is a letdown spot for the Celtics following last night's big win in Miami. This is also a revenge spot for the Hawks, who lost by 3 at home to the C's last month.
History tells us that Boston's offensive outburst last night sets it up for failure here as it is just 1-11 ATS in home games after scoring 60 points or more in the first half last game over the last 3 seasons. It has only won these games by an average of 1.8 points.
It's also worth noting that the C's are 11-25 ATS in the 2nd game of a back-to-back over the last 2 seasons. It's losing by an average of 0.4 points in these games.
The Hawks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
The Hawks have won 5 of the last 8 meetings in this series, and I like their chances of winning another against Boston tonight.