4* Cinderella SMASH
Long Beach State vs. New Mexico,
03/15/2012 16:10 EDT,
Score: 68 - 75
Point Spread: +4/-110 Long Beach State
4* Cinderella SMASH on Long Beach State +4
Long Beach State has the ability to make a Cinderella run in this year's Big Dance and that run starts with a win over New Mexico.
The 49ers have excelled against excellent teams that shoot 45% or better and hold their opponents to 42% or less from the floor. They are 8-1 ATS versus these teams this season, defeating them by an average score of 72.6 to 64.7. It is also worth noting that they are 21-9 ATS all-time under coach Monson versus such teams.
Long Beach State showed it is capable of playing with any team in the country when it played Kansas and North Carolina to within 8 and 6 points respectively on the road earlier this season. New Mexico played in a good league but hasn't been tested the same way
The 49ers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games as an underdog. We'll take the points as Long Beach State has a terrific opportunity to win this one outright.