20* Sun Belt GAME OF THE MONTH on North Texas -2.5
Western Kentucky vs. North Texas,
03/06/2012 19:00 EDT,
Score: 74 - 70
Point Spread: -2½/-110 North Texas
The North Texas Mean Green are clearly the better team in this match-up and I look for them to run away with the Sun Belt Conference championship tonight with a blowout victory over Western Kentucky. This one shouldn't even be close folks.
WKU has put together a magical run with three straight victories in this conference tournament all by 5 points or less. Playing their 4th game in 4 days, the Hilltoppers simply won't have enough left in the tank to pull off another upset. You have to remember that WKU is still just 14-18 on the season.
North Texas has also made the championship with some close victories along the way. But this will be just the 3rd game in 3 days for the Mean Green as they had a first-round bye. They will be the fresher team and they own an 18-13 record on the season.
The biggest indication that North Texas is the better team comes from the fact that they beat Western Kentucky 84-67 in their lone meeting this season. The Mean Green shot 56.4 percent from the floor while limiting the Hilltoppers to just 34.6 percent shooting in that January 12th home victory.
North Texas is a perfect 8-0 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games this season. They are winning by 8.8 points/game in this situation. The Mean Green are 22-7-2 ATS in their last 31 games overall. North Texas is 22-8-1 ATS in their last 31 neutral site games. Bet North Texas Tuesday.