NCAAB FREE PICK: Cincinnati -1.5
Cincinnati vs. Villanova,
03/03/2012 14:00 EDT,
Score: 72 - 68
Point Spread: -1½/-110 Cincinnati
My money is on the Cincinnati Bearcats to easily cover this small 1.5-point spread at Villanova on Saturday. The Bearcats didn't play their best basketball and still held on for a 82-78 win at home over Villanova earlier this season.
Cincinnati comes in having six of their last eight games overall, with their only two losses coming against two very good teams on the road in Marquette and South Florida. With this spread all we need is for Cincinnati to win the game, and they should do just that. Villanova is just 2-7 over their last 9 games with their only two wins coming against a couple of bad teams in Providence and Rutgers. During this stretch they have lost three home games, where they are just 9-5 this season.
Cincinnati 9-2 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons and 9-2 ATS in road games off a home win over the last 2 seasons. Villanova on the other hand is just 3-12 ATS as an underdog this season and only 2-8 ATS in home lined games this season. BET THE BEARCATS!