Missouri State vs. Evansville,
03/02/2012 22:00 EDT,
Score: 64 - 72
Point Spread: +2/-105 Evansville
On Friday the NCAAB Tourney play is on Wisconsin Milwaukee. Game 858 at 8:30 eastern UWM is a solid 20-2 vs teams who average 65 or less points and have covered 10 of 13 in the 2nd half the last 3 seasons vs teams who allow 64 or less. They have won 4 of 5 vs teams ranked from 100 to 150 in the RPI Rankings and are 4-1 to the spread when the total is 119 or less. Most will be on Butler with the memories from years past. This Butler team is not as good as in recent years and the line may offer some value based on that assumption. Butler is 1-4 straight up with road loss revenge, 1-6 ats in the series and have failed to cover 7 of the last 10 off a conference win. Look for Wisconsin Milwaukee to get the win here.
On Friday the MVC play is on Evansville. Game 854 at 10:00 eastern. The Purple Aces have won both meetings this season and fit a system based on that premise combined with the Spread range. They are a solid 11-1 ats vs teams who allow less than 63 points and 21-6 ats the last 3 years in the 2nd half vs winning teams. In conference play they have covered 14 of 18 and 10 of 12 as a dog this season. Missouri St is 5-13 vs winning teams, 4-13 ats off 3+ spread losses and 1-3 to the spread with road loss revenge. Even worse they are 3-10 ats as a favorite and just 4=7 vs teams ranked 100 to 150 in the RPI Rankings. Look for Evansville to complete the season sweep.