5* NFL *SUPER SYSTEM SMOKER* Game of the Year
Detroit vs. Oakland,
12/18/2011 16:05 EDT,
Score: 28 - 27
Point Spread: +1½/-110 Oakland
5* NFL *SUPER SYSTEM SMOKER* Game of the Year on Raiders +1.5
The public is all over the Lions here after watching Oakland get buried on the road the last two weeks, but history indicates this is not the time to turn your back on the Raiders.
Consider plays on home underdogs or pickems off a road blowout loss by 14 points or more, in December games, are an impressive 71-32 (68.9%) ATS since 1983. This system is 11-3 ATS the last 3 seasons and 1-0 ATS already this season.
In addition to the numbers, the Lions don't match up well with the Raiders. Detroit, which gave up 269 rushing yards last week, is 27th in the NFL with 136.1 rushing yards allowed per game. The Lions will have a very difficult time slowing down an Oakland offense that ranks 6th in the league with 138.8 rushing yards per contest.
Detroit is an improved team, but it's not ready to be laying any amount of points on the road. The Lions are 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 games as a road favorite and 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite of 3.0 points or less. Bet the Raiders.