15* CBB Thursday Undervalued Underdog on Utah +17
Utah vs. Oregon State,
03/01/2012 22:00 EDT,
Score: 67 - 77
Point Spread: +17½/-110 Utah
The Utah Utes are way undervalued late in the season due to their poor 6-22 record. While Oregon State has a better record at 15-13 this season, the Beavers have no business being favored this heavily tonight.
Utah has played much better of late. The Utes have covered in five straight games, including an impressive 58-57 home victory over Stanford as a 12-point underdog last time out. I had Utah as my 25* Pac-12 GAME OF THE YEAR in that contest, so this team has certainly been on my radar. They haven't lost any of their last five games by more than 14 points.
Oregon State has packed it in. The Beavers are 0-5 in their last five games overall, failing to cover the spread in all five. That includes home losses to Washington, Washington State, and Oregon during this stretch. After a 1-point loss to their biggest rivals last time out in the Ducks, they will have a hard time getting motivated to face Utah tonight.
Utah is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Utes are 7-0 ATS after 2 or more consecutive unders this season. Utah is 6-0 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent this season, only losing by 7.2 points/game in this spot. The Beavers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall. These four trends make for a perfect 23-0 system backing the Utes. Roll with Utah Thursday.