4* NBA on TNT SMASH
Miami vs. Portland,
03/01/2012 22:30 EDT,
Score: 107 - 93
Point Spread: +5/-110 Portland
4* NBA on TNT SMASH on Trail Blazers +5
Miami is being overvalued here as it has won 8 in a row and has the highest winning percentage in the East. History does not appear to be on Miami's side here as it is 0-9 ATS all-time under Spoelstra when checking in off 3 or more consecutive home wins. It is losing by an average 9.1 points in this situation.
The Blazers are a heck of a home team. They are 13-5 at the Rose Garden with an average winning margin of 12.7 points. 3 of their home losses have come to the Magic, Thunder and Clippers and none of those came by more than 4 points.
The Trail Blazers are entering off a SU and ATS loss at Denver but are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games following a SU loss and 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games following an ATS loss. We'll take the points.