3* Monday Night Football SMASH
St. Louis vs. Seattle,
12/12/2011 20:30 EDT,
Score: 13 - 30
Point Spread: +10½/-110 St. Louis
3* Monday Night Football SMASH (ESPN) on Rams +10.5
History suggests this is a great time to take the Rams. Consider that plays on underdogs or pickems checking in off a road blowout loss of 14 points or more, in December games, are 100-56 ATS since 1983. Teams fitting into this situation have only lost by an average of 3.1 points. It's also worth noting that this system is 15-6 ATS the last 3 seasons.
In addition, plays on road teams out to avenge an upset loss to an opponent, provided the "play on" team checks in off a road defeat, are 37-13 ATS the last 10 seasons. Teams in this situation are actually winning outright by an average of 2.0 points. This system is 18-5 ATS the last 5 seasons.
Seattle is coming off a 31-14 win over Philadelphia but it 0-6 ATS after a win by 14 or more points over the last 3 seasons and 0-6 ATS after scoring 30 points or more last game over the last 3 seasons. Looking back further, the Seahawks are 3-24-2 ATS in their last 29 games following a win of more than 14 points and 6-20-1 ATS in their last 27 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
The Rams don't want to get skunked in division play, and they certainly don't want to be swept by the team that prevented them from winning the division last season. Look for the Rams to keeps this one within the number behind a strong effort tonight.