15* Bears/Eagles NBC Sunday Night BAILOUT on Chicago +3
Chicago vs. Philadelphia,
12/22/2013 20:30 EDT,
Score: 11 - 54
Point Spread: +3/-110 Chicago
The Bears have picked up two huge wins over the past two weeks to stay alive for the NFC North Title. If they win out, they will be crowned your division champions. After throttling Dallas 45-28 at home on December 9, the Bears went on the road and knocked off Cleveland 38-31 last week. Jay Cutler started shaky in his first start back from injury, but led the Bears to 21 points in the fourth quarter and a confidence-building come-from-behind victory.
Chicago has been dynamite on offense under first-year head coach Marc Trestman no matter who has been under center. It is averaging 29.0 points per game and 393.4 yards per contest to rank 7th in the league in total offense. The Bears should have their way with a Philadelphia defense that ranks 30th in the league, giving up 402.2 yards per game. The Eagles allowed 370 passing yards to Matt Cassel and the Minnesota Vikings last week in a humbling 30-48 road loss. If they would have won that game, they could have clinched the NFC East with a victory this week.
Now, the Eagles can afford to lose this game and still clinch the division with a win over the Dallas Cowboys next week. That could have them not even showing up knowing that next week’s game is for all the marbles. That is if Dallas beats Washington this week, and it is a 3-point favorite to do so, so there’s a good chance that this scenario holds up. So, if the Cowboys do beat the Redskins earlier in the day, you do not want your money on the Eagles because this game will essentially mean nothing to them, win or lose. It means everything to the Bears either way, and that's a big reason I'm siding with them.
Chicago has won each of its last two meetings with Philadelphia. Cutler has thrown six touchdowns and zero interceptions in those two meetings while Matt Forte has rushed for a combined 250 yards in the two wins. He has 133 yards in his most recent meetings with the Eagles in a 30-24 road win back in 2011. Also, the defense is expected to get a big boost with the return of their leader in linebacker Lance Briggs, who has been cleared to play after missing the past seven games with a shoulder injury.
Plays on all teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CHICAGO) – excellent offensive team (>=5.8 YPP) against a team with a poor defense (5.4 to 5.8 YPP), after gaining 400 or more total yards in their previous game are 27-10 (73%) ATS over the last five seasons. Philadelphia is 0-7 against the spread in home games vs. good passing teams with a completion percentage of 61% or better over the last two seasons.
Philadelphia has lost 12 of its 15 home games outright over the past two seasons. Dating back further, the Eagles are a woeful 5-20-1 ATS in their last 26 home games overall. Philadelphia is 2-9-1 ATS in its last 12 games vs. a team with a winning record. The underdog is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings in this series. Chicago is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings. Bet the Bears Sunday.