Joe D'Amico's NFL AFC Game of the Year

Joe D'Amico's NFL AFC Game of the Year

Tennessee vs. Denver, 12/08/2013 16:05 EDT, Score: 28 - 51

Point Spread: -11/-110 Denver

Sportsbook: BETONLINE

Result: Win

Sunday's winner is Denver over Tennessee. This is my AFC Game of the Year.

HC, John Fox will be returning to the sidelines here. A victory would give Denver a post-season slot. The Broncos are 6-0 SU at home this season, with a 4-1-1 ATS mark, averaging 40.8 PPG in their house. Just over their L2 games, they rushed for over 412 yards as Montee Ball (379 YR and 3 TDs) has stepped-up to assist Knowshon Moreno (842 YR and 9 TDs). Peyton Manning is playing on another level as the QB has a 68.1%CR, 4125 YP, and a 41/9 TD/INT ratio. The quartet of Thomas, Decker, Welker, and J.Thomas have 3359 YR and 36 TD receptions. The "O" ranks 1st in Points Scored, Passing Yards, and Total Yards. At 5-7, Tennessee is playing their third straight road game and have really no margin for error if they are going to make the playoffs. Ryan Fitzpatrick will be at the helm. The QB has the uncanny knack of making costly mistakes with 7 INTs. That means the offensive unit must lean on Chris Johnson, who has just one 100-yard outing this season and now goes up against the 7th ranked Rush Defense in the NFL. The Titans "D" got lit up by the 49ers for 31 points, 21 points by the Rams, 29 points to the Jaguars, 30 points to the Colts, 19 points to the Raiders, and 22 points to the Colts in their second meeting. None of these teams have the superior balanced unit on offense like the one that the Titans will line up against here at Mile High. On top of that, Denver's OT loss two weeks ago to New England means they will come out and leave no questions here. They can't afford a tie with the Patriots. The Titans are 0-4 ATS the L4 meetings vs. the Broncos, 10-25-1 ATS their L36 games played vs. teams with a winning record, and 1-4 ATS their L5 games played vs. the AFC. The Broncos are 5-0 ATS their L5 games played in December, 6-1 ATS their L7 games played vs. teams with a losing record, and 4-1 ATS their L5 games played overall. Take Denver. Thank you.

« Back