7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Bucks +5

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Bucks +5

Portland vs. Milwaukee, 11/20/2013 20:00 EDT, Score: 91 - 82

Point Spread: +5/-105 Milwaukee

Sportsbook: Pinnacle

Result: Loss

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Bucks +5
The Key: You want to back home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that have failed to cover the spread in 4 of their last 5 games when they're matched up with an opponent that has covered the number in 6 or 7 of its last 8 games. That's because doing so has produced a 66-33 ATS mark since 1996. Teams fitting these parameters have been underdogs of 6.0 points on average, but have lost by only 2.5 points on average. This system is an explosive 24-3 ATS the last 5 seasons. This is a tough spot for Portland as this is its 4th road game in 6 days. The Bucks have had 3 full days off and are expected to get Caron Butler and Ersan Ilyasova back in the lineup. Milwaukee has given Portland fits. The Bucks are 4-0 SU and ATS in the last 4 meetings. Take the points.


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