TG - Big 12 Monday

TG - Big 12 Monday

Kansas vs. Kansas State, 02/13/2012 21:00 EDT, Score: 59 - 53

Point Spread: -4/-110 Kansas

Sportsbook: BETONLINE

Result: Win

Kansas -4

Going to play the better team here. Kansas is more balanced and consistent than little brother K State. This is a tough road game no doubt, but KU has won big games on the road (with the exception of Missouri where they allowed an 11-0 run to grab defeat from the jaws of victory) in that one. K State off a huge and devastating loss at Texas on Saturday (we were on Texas) blowing a 14 point lead at one point, and to recover, travel back home and play one of the top rated teams in the nation is a tough spot. KU is familiar with Big Monday national TV games and in their last 21 Monday games, the Jayhawks have covered 16 of them. Kansas has also owned K State covering 21 out of the last 28 meetings. With an 18 point win under their belt the last meeting in Phog Allen, Kansas has been hot as of late hitting 51% from the floor overall in their last 5 games, against a team who has struggled to just 63 ppg on offense their last 5. K State has a way of dropping off and not maintaining intensity and giving up big plays in transition, which plays right into KU’s hand. Opened up at -2.5 and shot up to 4, I have a 4 point overlay here, but bottom line is Bill Self LOVES beating up K State and he remembers a 16 point beat down in Manhattan last year and will avenge it tonight.

Play 1 Unit on Kansas

Play a half unit on Iowa State +9. Baylor will win but ISU undervalued here. Baylor has 4 losses to Mizzou and Kansas this season, undefeated other than that, but while I feel they can win, ISU can trade punches on offense, where Baylor has been struggling and off a bad loss at Mizzou, this will be a tough spot for Baylor, ISU making a case tonight to be a tourney team and will bring the heat.

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