6* Sunday Night Football *CA$H COW* on Broncos -7.5

6* Sunday Night Football *CA$H COW* on Broncos -7.5

Kansas City vs. Denver, 11/17/2013 20:30 EDT, Score: 17 - 27

Point Spread: -7½/-105 Denver

Sportsbook: JustBet

Result: Win

6* Sunday Night Football *CA$H COW* on Broncos -7.5
The Key: I'm not buying the Chiefs as a Super Bowl contender, which I strongly believe Denver is. The Chiefs have benefited from a favorable schedule and a +15 turnover margin. They are solid defensively, but I don't believe they are good enough to tame Denver's explosive offense. Kansas City won't be able to rely on its defense to make big plays in this one. Manning has just 6 INTs on the season. Kansas City's offense will have to do something, and I don't see it doing enough. The Chiefs rank 24th in the NFL in total offense, and they managed only 210 total yards while giving up 470 in their last game against Buffalo. Kansas City's bye week might not be a positive thing in this case, either, as it squashes its momentum. Denver is 11-3 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons. The Broncos are also 6-0 ATS off a road win against a division rival under coach John Fox, who is recovering from surgery but still has a hand on this team. The Chiefs have been crushed by good passing teams lately, going 3-13 ATS in their last 16 road games versus teams that average 260 passing yards or more per game. They have lost to these teams by an average score of 25.7 to 11.1. Denver is on an 18-6 ATS run in home games versus teams that give up 17.0 points or less per game. It has defeated these teams by an average score of 27.5 to 17.3.


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