3* Bailout Blowout on New Orleans Pelicans -

3* Bailout Blowout on New Orleans Pelicans -

New Orleans vs. Phoenix, 11/10/2013 20:00 EDT, Score: 94 - 101

Point Spread: -1½/-108 New Orleans

Sportsbook: 5Dimes

Result: Loss

Phoenix showed us just how bad they can play in the third quarter of their last game against Denver. They blew a 17 point lead against the Nuggets, and it took a fourth quarter comeback to win the game. Against a quality team like New Orleans I don't think Phoenix can afford to play so poorly and still win the game.

The Pelicans have won three of their last four games. They are averaging 96.3 points per game, the same number of points the Suns have allowed this season. Phoenix is nowhere near as good as there 4-2 record. They have lost two of their last four games, and after battling it out with Denver on Friday I don't expect a strong performance from Phoenix in this game.

In head-to-head matchups with the Suns the Pelicans have a 4-1 ATS record. The road team is also 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings between them. This matchup also falls into a system to play against a team like Phoenix after a home game where both teams scored 100 points or more, and they were a bad team that won just 25% to 40% of their games last year playing another team that had a losing record. This system is 27-6 (82%) against the spread.


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