4* No Brainer on Dallas Cowboys +
Dallas vs. New Orleans,
11/10/2013 20:30 EDT,
Score: 17 - 49
Point Spread: +7/-115 Dallas
This seven point line is far too many points for the Cowboys to be receiving given how well the team has played this season. The Cowboys are averaging 28.6 points per game, while the defense has held opponents to just 20.2 points per game when playing on the road. The Saints run defense is definitely their weakest link, and I expect a well coached team like Dallas to exploit that vulnerability. New Orleans has allowed an average of 121 rushing yards per game on 4.9 yards per carry this season.
The Saints ground attack has been non-existent this season which makes them a very one-sided offense. I don't think they will be able to match the success they have had this year against the big, hard-hitting Cowboys secondary. The Cowboys defense has also done a great job of forcing turnovers. They have nine forced turnovers in their last three games and I expect that trend to continue this week against the Saints.
The Cowboys are 5-1 ATS in their last six games against a team with a winning record, and they are 5-2 ATS in their last seven road games. In head-to-head matchups between these teams the road team has a 4-1 ATS record in the last five games, and the underdog is a perfect 8-0 ATS in the last eight meetings. Dallas is too good to get blown out, and with the Saints coming off an embarrassing loss to the Jets last week the Cowboys have the momentum coming into this game.