3* Oddsmakers Error on UCLA +

3* Oddsmakers Error on UCLA +

UCLA vs. Arizona, 11/09/2013 22:00 EDT, Score: 31 - 26

Point Spread: +2½/-110 UCLA

Sportsbook: Intertops

Result: Win

The Bruins are clearly the better team, and even without Jordan James they should be able to win this game on the road. After back-to-back losses to Stanford and Oregon it seems the oddsmakers have given up hope on UCLA. They responded last week with a 22 point win over Colorado. They have impressive road wins over Nebraska and Utah this season.

The Bruins are averaging 37.2 points per game this season. They average 194 rushing yards on 4.5 yards per carry. With James out, they will still catch a break against a Wildcats defense that has allowed 161 rushing yards per game on four yards per carry. The Bruins are a dual threat team. They are completing 69.2% of their pass attempts for 268 yards.

The Bruins are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS loss, indicating the oddsmaker’s tendency to overreact to a bad game. They face an Arizona team that is 3-12 ATS in home games after three or more consecutive wins. This points out another oddsmaker’s tendency, this time overvaluing the Wildcats. Coach Rodriguez is 6-18 ATS in all games he has coached against teams averaging over 425 yards per game.


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