NGL TOTAL

NGL TOTAL

Carolina vs. Minnesota, 10/13/2013 13:00 EDT, Score: 35 - 10

Total: -109/+44 Over

Sportsbook: Pinnacle

Result: Win

On Sunday the Non Conference Game is on Baltimore. Game 208 at 1:00 eastern. Baltimore fits na Incredible system here that has CASHED 26 STRAIGHT TIMES. We want to play on home dogs in October or later that are off a road dog win in a game where they were a dog of 9.5 or less and averaged 4.3 yards per carry or less so long as they are not on a 7 or more game win streak. Right there we have a play. However as you know we like to dig deep into the database and the findings are as follows. The Ravens are 10-0 ats at home since Moving to Baltimore if they are not favored by 12 or more points and won as a dog last week. They have covered 7 straight after allowing 50 or less yards on the ground. Defending Champs are 5-0 ats as non division dogs off a dog win the last 33+ years. So that one is pretty rare. Green Bay has failed to cover 8 straight times on the road off a win if J. Jones had a catch of 19 or more yards and 0-8 ats as favorites if they allowed 10 or less at home. With Clay Mathews out and Green Bay already losing on the road vs the Bengals who hail from the AFC North we will back Baltimore in this game.



On Sunday the BONUS NFL Total is on the Over in the Carolina at Minnesota game. Rotation numbers 211/212 at 1:00 eastern. The Vikings have posted over in all 4 games this year and have 10 straight overs with rest vs non division opponents. As for our system we note that teams with totals that are 42.5 to 49 have flown over 28 of 33 times if they allow 17 or less points per game, like Carolina and have gone under in at least 2 straight. The Panthers have played over 8 straight vs teams who have scored 27 or more points per game the past 3+ years and have gone over in 17 of 21 if they have lost to the spread in 3 of their last 4 games. The Vikings have flown over in 17 of 20 at home after allowing 300+ yards passing.. Look for this one to go over the total


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