25* MLB Playoffs TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Red Sox/Rays OVER 7.5

25* MLB Playoffs TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Red Sox/Rays OVER 7.5

Boston vs. Tampa Bay, 10/08/2013 20:37 EDT, Score: 3 - 1

Total: +107/+7½ Over

Sportsbook: 5Dimes

Result: Loss

The books are giving both Jake Peavy and Jeremy Hellickson way too much respect tonight. I look for the biggest slug fest of the series thus far to take place at Tropicana Field in Game 4 Tuesday.

Each of the first three games in this series have gone OVER the number. They combined for 14 runs in Game 1, 11 runs in Game 2 and 9 runs in Game 3. Every starting pitcher that has been out there for each team is better than both starters tonight.

Jake Peavy is 12-5 with a 4.17 ERA over 23 starts this season. He has really struggled on the road, going 5-5 with a 5.27 ERA in 14 starts away from home. Jeremy Hellickson is 11-10 with a 5.24 ERA in 31 starts this season. He has been atrocious of late, going 0-2 with a 7.81 ERA In his last three starts.

The OVER is 7-0 in Red Sox last 7 games overall. The OVER is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 road games. The OVER is 7-0-1 in Red Sox last 8 road games as a favorite of -110 to -110. The OVER is 5-0 in Rays last 5 vs. AL East opponents. These four trends combine for a 24-0 system backing the OVER. Bet the OVER in Game 4 Tuesday.


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