20* Jets/Falcons ESPN Monday No-Brainer on New York +10.5
NY Jets vs. Atlanta,
10/07/2013 20:40 EDT,
Score: 30 - 28
Point Spread: +10½/-110 NY Jets
The New York Jets have surprisingly been one of the best teams in the league in 2013. The numbers don’t lie as they have outgained all four opponents that they’ve faced. They outgained the Patriots in a 13-10 road loss in Week 2, but lost due to finishing -4 in turnovers. They also lost at Tennessee last week despite outgaining the Titans, once again finishing -4 in turnovers. If they can find a way to take care of the football, it’s scary how good this team can be.
In fact, New York ranks 12th in the league in total offense at 366.2 total yards per game. Geno Smith has proven that he can make plays throwing the football, and the running game has been solid as well. The Jets rank 16th in passing offense (243.2 yards/game) and 12th in rushing offense (123.0 yards/game). The defense has been spectacular, ranking 2nd in the league in total defense at 283.0 total yards per game. With that kind of stop unit, the Jets have a chance to beat anyone.
The biggest reason for Atlanta’s struggles this season has been the defense. I said coming into the year that the Falcons would take a step back defensively with all of their personnel losses, and that has certainly been the case. They rank 22nd in scoring defense (26.0 points/game) and 25th in total defense (393.2 yards/game). They have registered just seven sacks all season, so Smith should have plenty of time to set his feet and make accurate throws Monday night. Atlanta is without two of its best players on defense in LB Sean Witherspoon and DE Kroy Bierman. Offensively, it is without starting RB Steven Jackson, while Roddy White continues to nurse an ankle injury.
Plays on any team (NY JETS) – a poor offensive team (14-18 PPG) against a poor defensive team (23-27 PPG), after a loss by 21 or more points are 23-5 (82.1%) ATS over the last 10 seasons. Atlanta is 3-17 against the spread in its last 20 games after gaining 375 or more total yards in two consecutive games. The Jets are 6-1 against the number in their last seven games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. The Falcons are 1-6 against the spread in their last seven games overall. Bet the Jets Monday.