15* Tigers/A's AL Division Series No-Brainer on Okland +118

15* Tigers/A's AL Division Series No-Brainer on Okland +118

Detroit vs. Oakland, 10/05/2013 21:07 EDT, Score: 0 - 1

Money Line: +118 Oakland

Sportsbook: 5Dimes

Result: Win

The Oakland A's are essentially in a must-win situation tonight. They cannot afford to go to back to Detroit down 0-2. They did not come this far to pack it in.

Rookie Sonny Gray will get the job done just as he has all season when called upon. The right-hander is 5-3 with a 2.85 ERA and 1.133 WHIP in 10 starts this season, including 3-1 with a 1.99 ERA and 0.934 WHIP in six home starts.

Justin Verlander is getting too much respect from oddsmakers tonight. The right-hander has been vulnerable this season, going 13-12 with a 3.63 ERA and 1.319 WHIP in 34 starts this season. In his last start against Oakland on August 27, he gave up five runs over five innings of a 3-6 loss as a -165 favorite.

Verlander is 0-7 (-14.1 Units) against the money line after giving up no earned runs last outing this season. He and the Tigers are coming back to lost 2.9 to 5.9 in this situation. Detroit is 1-9 in Verlander's last 10 starts as a favorite, including 0-6 in his last 6 starts as a road favorite. The A's are 8-0 in their last 8 games as an underdog of +110 to +150. Oakland is 10-1 in its last 11 games following a loss. These five trends combine for a 40-2 system backing Oakland. Bet the A's Saturday.

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