15* Seahawks/Colts NFL Sunday No-Brainer on Seattle -2.5
Seattle vs. Indianapolis,
10/06/2013 13:00 EDT,
Score: 28 - 34
Point Spread: -1/-129 Seattle
There's no question in my mind that the Seattle Seahawks are the best team in the league in 2013. Even in an off performance last week, they managed to find a way to rally and beat Houston 23-20 in overtime on the road. This team is gaining a lot of confidence as the season goes on with each victory.
Seattle ranks 6th in the league in scoring offense at 27.2 points per game, and 2nd in the league in scoring defense at 11.8 points per game. This team is consistently undervalued on the road because of the reputation they get for having such a dominant home-field advantage. Well, they have won five of their last six road games dating back to last season with their only loss coming to the Falcons in the Georgia Dome on a last-second field goal in the playoffs by a final of 28-30.
Russell Wilson continues to lack the respect he deserves. He ranks ninth in the league with a 95.3 passer rating and is fifth among quarterbacks with 131 rushing yards. When the pocket breaks down, he has a sixth sense that is unmatched by any other quarterback in the league. Wilson rushed for 77 yards against Houston last week as he simply refused to go down time and time again.
I believe Indianapolis is one of the biggest frauds in the NFL. It went 11-5 last season, but won nine of ten games that were decided by a touchdown or less. It is also off to a 3-1 start this season, getting too much credit for wins at San Francisco and at Jacksonville over the past two weeks. The 49ers had huge injury problems that week and were deflated coming off a bad 3-29 loss to Seattle the previous week. The Colts have not looked good at home, needing to come from behind in the fourth quarter to beat the Raiders 21-17 as an 11-point favorite in Week 1, and falling to Miami 20-24 in Week 2.
The Seahawks are a perfect 6-0 against the spread in their last six road games, further devaluing the theory that their not a good road team. Seattle is a perfect 8-0 against the spread in its last eight games vs. a team with a winning record. The Seahawks are 7-0 ATS vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 6+ PPG on the season over the last 3 seasons. Seattle is 6-0 ATS vs. good offensive teams - scoring 24 or more points/game over the last 2 seasons. The Seahawks are 7-0 ATS after allowing 400 or more total yards in their previous game over the last 3 seasons. These five trends combine for a perfect 34-0 system backing Seattle. Take the Seahawks Sunday.