15* NFL Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Kansas City Chiefs -2.5

15* NFL Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Kansas City Chiefs -2.5

Kansas City vs. Tennessee, 10/06/2013 13:00 EDT, Score: 26 - 17

Point Spread: -2½/-109 Kansas City

Sportsbook: Pinnacle

Result: Win

The Kansas City Chiefs are a completely new team under first-year head coach Andy Reid and quarterback Alex Smith. While the offense has been vastly improved under the guidance of these two, it’s the young defense that has really blossomed right before everyone’s eyes. The Chiefs have opened 4-0 and they certainly want to keep that momentum going as they roll into Tennessee Sunday.

Kansas City ranks 1st in the league in scoring defense, giving up just 10.2 points and 306.2 total yards per game. The offense is putting up 25.5 points and 347.2 total yards per game to really compliment the defense. The Chiefs just aren’t turning the ball over, giving it away just three times all season while forcing 12 turnovers for a +9 differential. Smith has been sharp, completing 60.3 percent of his passes for 957 yards with seven touchdowns and two interceptions.

Meanwhile, Tennessee is going to be without its starting quarterback for the next four-to-six weeks. Jake Locker suffered a hip strain last week in their win over the Jets, and that loss is absolutely huge. Locker was completing 62.2 percent of his passes for 721 yards with six touchdowns and zero interceptions, while also rushing for 98 yards and a score before going down. His backup, Ryan Fitzpatrick, went just 3 of 8 passing against the Jets last week in replace of Locker. He’s had his chances as a starter before in Buffalo and hasn’t taken advantage of them.

Tennessee is actually getting outgained on the season, so this 3-1 team is certainly a fraud coming into this contest. It is getting way too much respect from the books due to this start. Remarkably, the Titans haven't turned the ball over once all season. That trend obviously won't keep up, especially with Fitzpatrick now running the offense. Fitzpatrick has thrown a whopping 81 interceptions over 75 games played in his career. He is also not mobile like Locker, taking 144 sacks in his career. His immobility will really cost the Titans against a Kansas City defense that has recorded an NFL-high 18 sacks through four games.

The Titans are 0-6 against the spread vs. good teams that outscored their opponents by 6 or more points per game on the season over the last three seasons. Mike Munchak is 2-9 against the spread when playing against a team with a winning record as the coach of Tennessee. Munchak is also 0-6 against the spread versus good offensive teams that score 24 or more points per game as the coach of Tennessee. Roll with the Chiefs Sunday.


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