20* Washington/Stanford ESPN Saturday Night BAILOUT on Washington +8.5
Washington vs. Stanford,
10/05/2013 22:30 EDT,
Score: 28 - 31
Point Spread: +8½/-110 Washington
The Huskies are one of the most improved teams in the country in 2013. They returned 18 starters and 58 lettermen, and this is clearly Steve Sarkisian’s best team yet. Their 4-0 start has included four straight blowout victories over the likes of Boise State (38-6), Illinois (34-24), Idaho State (56-0) and Arizona (31-13). I would argue that they’ve played a tougher schedule than Stanford to this point. Even that 10-point win over Illinois was a bigger blowout than the final score would indicate as they outgained the Fighting Illini 615-327.
Looking at yardage numbers alone, it’s easy to see that Washington is one of the best teams in the country. It ranks 5th in the FBS in total offense at 574.0 yards per game, and 14th in total defense at 288.7 yards per game. What’s most impressive about those numbers is the tough schedule that they have faced. Washington’s opponents are averaging 384 total yards on the season, so they are outperforming that average by roughly 95 yards per game allowed. Washington’s opponents are giving up 463 total yards per game, so they are outperforming that average by 111 yards per game offensively.
Washington has a great run defense and an even better pass defense. It is only allowing 133 rushing yards per game and 3.4 per carry, which is impressive when you consider the four opponents it has faced average 174 rushing yards per game and 4.3 per carry. The Huskies are only allowing 48.3 percent completions and 156.8 yards per game through the air to rank 9th in the country against the pass.
Stanford relies very heavily on the run, and Washington basically shut down three great rush offenses in Boise State, Illinois and Arizona. The Cardinal have a good defense, but they have been op against all one-dimensional offenses in San Jose State, Army, Arizona State and Washington State. They haven’t faced an offense with the kind of balance that Washington offers. The Huskies rank 11th in the country in rushing offense (288.8 yards/game) and 32nd in passing offense (285.3 yards/game).
Washington beat Stanford 17-13 last year and really dominated that contest. It outgained the Cardinal 313-240, limiting them to just 70 rushing yards on 27 carries for an average of 2.6/rush. Meanwhile, Bishop Sankey ran wild on Stanford’s defense, gaining 144 yards and a touchdown on 20 carries. Washington is 8-2 against the spread in its last 10 games overall. The Huskies are 5-1 against the number in their last six vs. a team with a winning record. Bet Washington Saturday.