5* Reds/Pirates NL Wild Card Blue Chip Top Play

5* Reds/Pirates NL Wild Card Blue Chip Top Play

Cincinnati vs. Pittsburgh, 10/01/2013 20:07 EDT, Score: 2 - 6

Money Line: -126 Pittsburgh

Sportsbook: Pinnacle

Result: Win

5* Reds/Pirates NL Wild Card Blue Chip Top Play

---Pittsburgh Pirates -126---

The Reds closed out the regular season with five straight losses and I have a hard time seeing them getting a win on the road against the Pirates tonight. So much of the playoffs is determined by which team is playing the best baseball down the stretch. Pittsburgh has won five of six and the Pirates fans are going to treat this game like it's Game 7 of the World Series.

My money is on Francisco Liriano over Johnny Cueto. Liriano is a dominant 8-1 with a 1.47 ERA and 0.964 WHIP over 11 home starts (9-2 team record).

Cueto comes in off a couple of solid starts after returning from injury, but those came against the likes of the Astros and Mets. He's also not been as strong of a pitcher on the road and I could see him getting roughed up early. Cueto relies more on his control than striking out batters and he's not exactly in mid-season form with this being just his third start since the end of June. Adding to this is the fact that the Pirates are 39-19 over their last 58 games vs a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) this season. BET PITTSBURGH!

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