4* Total Annihilator on Purdue/Notre Dame UNDER
Notre Dame vs. Purdue,
09/14/2013 20:00 EDT,
Score: 31 - 24
Total: -110/+49 Under
This matchup features two quality defenses, and two offenses that have had trouble moving the ball. The Irish were in a shootout with Michigan last week, but I expect a completely different result in this game. In their season opener they held Temple to just six points, and should have no problem keeping this Purdue team in check. Purdue had just 65 yards on the ground in their season opener against Cincinnati.
The under is 7-1 in Notre Dame’s last eight games following an ATS loss. The under is also 8-2-1 in Notre Dame’s last 11 road games. There is no way Purdue will be able to score on this stout Irish defense the way that Michigan did last week. The fact that Purdue was only able to score 20 points against an FCS opponent tells me the Boilermakers could be in a world of trouble coming into this game.
In head-to-head meetings between these teams the under is 3-1-1 in the last five games played at Purdue. The Boilermakers are also 3-0-1 in their last four games against independents. Notre Dame did not control the pace of last week’s game against Michigan, but that will not be the case in this game. I expect the Irish to slow things down, keeping this one well under the total.