4* Total Annihilator on Colts/Raiders UNDER
Oakland vs. Indianapolis,
09/08/2013 13:00 EDT,
Score: 17 - 21
Total: -115/+47 Under
The total on this game is set too high when you break down this matchup. The Raiders averaged just 15.2 points per game on the road last season. They face an Indianapolis team that scored an average of 21.5 points per game. Both teams saw a lot of changes in the offseason. Indianapolis lost two great receivers with Donnie Avery and Austin Collie. The Raiders lost Darrius Heyward-Bey and their leading receiver Brandon Myers. Replacing big name players like that will definitely take a hit on the offensive production for both teams.
Defensively we have two teams that should be improved over last season. The Raiders picked up Tracy Porter and Charles Woodson, so the secondary will be substantially better than last season. For the Colts, LaRon Landry figures to make an immediate impact as a defensive leader. Both teams finished with 6-10 records in favor of the under last season.
The under is 6-1 in Oakland’s last seven games overall, and 4-1 in their last five games against AFC opponents. The Colts have gone under the total in 11 of their last 13 home games. When playing against AFC opponents they are 16-5 to the under. Both teams will be better on defense and worse on offense than they were last season, making the under a strong play in this game.